ABPW10 PGTW 221530
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/221530Z-230600ZDEC2024//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/221351ZDEC2024//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/220551ZDEC2024//
NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE 
FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 22DEC24 1200Z, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 28W (TWENTYEIGHT) WAS 
LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 113.2E, APPROXIMATELY 383 NM EAST OF HO CHI MINH 
CITY, VIETNAM, AND HAD TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 
SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS 
GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 221500) FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
8.0N 115.5E HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
      (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
9.8N 114.8E IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE 
PARA. 1.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
18.6S 147.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 19.7S 152.6E, APPROXIMATELY 424 NM 
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE 
IMAGERY AND A 220438Z GMI 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOW A MORE DEFINED 
CIRCULATION, WITH FRAGMENTED, FORMATIVE BANDING AND CURVED DEEP 
CONVECTION ORGANIZING AROUND THE SYSTEM. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS 
REVEALS THAT INVEST 96P IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER 
DEVELOPMENT, WITH WARM (28-29C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, GOOD 
POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, OFFSET BY MODERATE TO HIGH (20-25 KTS) 
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 
96P IS GENERALLY GOING TO PROPAGATE EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 
48 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 30 TO 35 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL 
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 998MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS 
REMAINS HIGH. SEE REF B (WTPS21 PGTW 220600) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(2) TO
WARNING STATUS. DISSIPATED AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(1).//
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