ABPW10 PGTW 170600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/170600Z-180600ZDEC2024//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/161451ZDEC2024//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
6.2N 127.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.5N 127.4E, APPROXIMATELY 105 NM 
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DAVAO. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 
A 162217Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT A CONSOLIDATING LOW 
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH DEEP CONVECTION BUILDING OVER THE 
CENTER. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS THAT INVEST 96W IS IN A 
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT, WITH WARM SEA SURFACE 
TEMPERATURES (28-29C), GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND MODERATE (15-
20 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 
INVEST 96W WILL GENERALLY TRACK NORTHWARDS OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. 
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE 
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 161500) FOR 
FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN