ABIO10 PGTW 230600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 
REISSUED/230600Z-231800ZNOV2024//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99B) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
4.4N 92.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 4.5N 91.5E, APPROXIMATELY 430 NM SOUTH OF 
PORT BLAIR. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) AND A 
222155Z SSMIS F18 91H MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT A POORLY-ORGANIZED, YET 
CONSOLIDATING LLCC WITH FLARING CONVECTION. THE CIRCULATION IS BEING 
DRIVEN BY A VIGOROUS WEST WIND BURST ASSOCIATED WITH THE PHASE II MADDEN 
JULIAN OSCILLATION, WHICH IS EXPECTED TO PAUSE AND AMPLIFY OVER THE FAR 
WESTERN INDIAN OCEAN FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. ANIMATED TOTAL PRECIPITABLE 
WATER LOOPS SHOW BROAD CYCLONIC ROTATION DEEPENING OFF THE NORTHWEST 
COAST OF SUMATRA. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT 
FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OF 15-20 
KTS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES 
OF 29-30 C. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 99B 
WILL CONTINUE TO CONSOLIDATE AND DEEPEN AS IT TRACKS WEST-NORTHWEST. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM 
SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS 
REMAINS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: REMOVED 02S (BHEKI) INFORMATION DUE TO 
FINAL WARNING EXPIRATION.//
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