ABPW10 PGTW 101330
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/101330Z-110600ZNOV2024//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/100751ZNOV2024//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/100752ZNOV2024//
REF/C/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/100753ZNOV2024//
REF/D/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/101321ZNOV2024//
NARR/REFS A, B AND C ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS. REF D IS A 
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 10NOV24 0600Z, TYPHOON 24W (YINXING) WAS LOCATED NEAR 
18.8N 113.0E, APPROXIMATELY 221 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF HONG KONG, AND 
HAD TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 90 KNOTS GUSTING TO 
110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 100900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) AT 10NOV24 0600Z, TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 15.9N 155.3E, APPROXIMATELY 551 NM EAST OF SAIPAN, AND HAD 
TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 
KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 100900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (3) AT 10NOV24 0600Z, TYPHOON 26W (TORAJI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 
15.2N 125.2E, APPROXIMATELY 246 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, AND 
HAD TRACKED WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 
KNOTS. SEE REF C (WTPN33 PGTW 100900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
8.6N 145.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.3N 143.1E, APPROXIMATELY 211 NM 
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GUAM. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY (EIR) 
DEPICTS AN IMPROVING LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH 
INCREASING CURVED CONVECTIVE BANDING BUILDING AROUND THE PERIPHERY. 
ADDITIONALLY, CONVECTION IS BUILDING OVER THE CENTER OF THE SYSTEM, 
CONSISTENT WITH AN INTENSIFYING TROPICAL SYSTEM. ENVIRONMENTAL 
ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT WITH 
LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) OF 10-15 KTS, WEAK UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, 
AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF 29-30C. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC 
MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 94W WILL CONTINUE TO 
CONSOLIDATE AS IT TRACKS WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HRS. 
WITH GFS BEING THE MOST AGGRESSIVE MODEL, GFS AND ECMWF BOTH INDICATE 
25 KTS IN THE SYSTEM'S WIND FIELD WITHIN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE. AS 
FOR NAVGEM, THE MODEL IS FORECASTING A SURFACE CIRCULATION SLIGHTLY 
LESS, WITH WINDS OF 15-20 KTS THROUGH THE REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD 
WHILE THE SURFACE CIRCULATION REMAINS BROAD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL 
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 
HOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE REF D (WTPN21 PGTW 101330) FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(1) TO
HIGH.//
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