ABPW10 PGTW 090300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/090300Z-090600ZNOV2024//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/090151ZNOV2024//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/090152ZNOV2024//
REF/C/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/090153ZNOV2024//
NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS. REF C IS A TROPICAL 
CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 09NOV24 0000Z, TYPHOON 24W (YINXING) WAS LOCATED NEAR 
18.8N 115.0E, APPROXIMATELY 215 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, AND 
HAD TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 100 KNOTS GUSTING TO 
125 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 090300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) AT 09NOV24 0000Z, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (TWENTYFIVE) WAS 
LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 159.5E, APPROXIMATELY 421 NM NORTH OF POHNPEI, AND 
HAD TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 19 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 
KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 090300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
13.4N 161.8E IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE 
PARA. 1.A.(2) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
14.7N 134.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 133.2E, APPROXIMATELY 701 NM 
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF APARRI, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL 
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A COMPACT SYSTEM WITH PERSISTENT CONVECTION 
AND FORMATIVE CONVECTIVE BANDING AROUND A FULLY OBSCURED LLCC. UPPER-
LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH WARM SEA SURFACE 
TEMPERATURES (29-30C), LOW VWS (10-15KT) AND EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. 
GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH 92W TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD 
WITH DEVELOPMENT AND INTENSIFICATION IN THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS.. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA 
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS 
IS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE REF C (WTPN22 PGTW 090200) FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS.
      (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
5.0N 152.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.0N 151.6E, APPROXIMATELY 81 NM SOUTH 
OF CHUUK. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) 
DEPICT DEPICTS A VERY BROAD AREA OF DENSE, PERSISTENT CONVECTION 
BEGINNING TO CONSOLIDATE. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES 94W IS IN A 
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW TO MODERATE (15-20 
KNOT) VWS OFFSET BY MODERATE DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND WARM (30-31C) SEA 
SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS INDICATE THAT 94W 
WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK IN A NORTHWESTWARD DIRECTION WITH STEADY 
INTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE 
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A 
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
      (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO WARNING 
STATUS. UPGRADED AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(2) TO HIGH.//
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