ABPW10 PGTW 021800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/021800Z-030600ZNOV2024//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1)  AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 6.6N 
140.7E, APPROXIMATELY 267 NM SOUTHEAST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL 
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS THE LOWER-LEVEL WINDS BEGINNING TO CONSOLIDATE 
WITH THE CONVECTIVE BANDING STARTING TO WRAP AROUND THE LLCC. 
ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR 
DEVELOPMENT DUE TO LOW TO MODERATE (15-20 KNOT) VWS OFFSET BY GOOD 
DIVERGENCE ALOFT WITH A POINT SOURCE TO THE SOUTH OF THE LLCC AIDING IN 
DEVELOPMENT AND WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE 
IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 90W WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK TO THE NORTHWEST 
TOWARDS LUZON AND CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. HOWEVER, 
GFS IS NOTABLY MORE AGGRESSIVE IN DEVELOPMENT THAN ECMWF ON THE LATEST 
RUN. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. 
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL 
FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 
HOURS IS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(1).//
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