ABPW10 PGTW 312100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/312100ZOCT2024-010600ZNOV2024//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/311951ZOCT2024//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 31OCT24 1800Z, TROPICAL STORM 23W (KONG-REY) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 25.2N 120.1E, APPROXIMATELY 691 NM SOUTHWEST OF SASEBO, JAPAN, AND 
HAD TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. 
SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 312100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
4.0N 155.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 4.4N 154.0E, APPROXIMATELY 215 NM 
SOUTHEAST OF CHUUK. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS 
A BROAD AREA OF DISORGANIZED CONVECTION DISPLACED FROM AN AREA WITH NO 
DEFINED CIRCULATION AND A 10311139Z PARTIAL ASCAT B PASS REVEALS AN 
EXTREMELY WEAK WIND FIELD. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES AN AREA WITH 
MARGINALLY UNFAVORABLE CONDITIONS SUCH AS VERY WEAK UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW, 
OFFSET BY WARM (30-31C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND LOW (10-15KT) 
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODEL GUIDANCE IS INCONCLUSIVE 
WITH AT MOST A SLUGGISH DEVELOPMENT AND A NORTHWESTERLY TRACK, HOWEVER 
MOST GLOBAL MODELS ARE NOT CONFIDENT IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE AREA OF 
CONVECTION (90W).    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 
TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1009 MB. 
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE 
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: DOWNGRADED AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(1) TO LOW.//
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