ABPW10 PGTW 301800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/301800Z-310600ZOCT2024//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/301351ZOCT2024//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 30OCT24 1200Z, TYPHOON 23W (KONG-REY) WAS LOCATED NEAR 
20.4N 123.6E, APPROXIMATELY 305 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, 
AND HAD TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 120 KNOTS GUSTING TO 
145 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 301500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
6.0N 159.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.6N 157.5E, APPROXIMATELY 92 NM 
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF POHNPEI. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE 
IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS A VERY BROAD AREA OF DENSE, PERSISTENT 
CONVECTION WITH FRAGMENTED RAIN BANDS BEGINNING TO ORGANIZE AROUND THE 
SOUTHERN PERIPHERY, AS WELL AS A 10311102Z METOPB ASCAT PASS REVEALING 
A MORE SYMMETRICAL CIRCULATION. THE ENVIRONMENT IS FAVORABLE FOR 
DEVELOPMENT WITH CONDUCIVE, VERY WARM (30-31CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE 
TEMPERATURE VALUES, LOW (10-15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD UPPER 
LEVEL OUTFLOW. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 90W 
WILL TRACK GENERALLY NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA 
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS 
IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.1 TO MEDIUM //
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