ABIO10 PGTW 111800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/111800Z-
121800ZOCT2024//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95A) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
15.7N 69.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 66.4E, APPROXIMATELY 543 NM 
SOUTHEAST OF MASIRAH, OMAN. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS 
A DISORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), WITH FLARING 
CONVECTION BEGINNING TO ORGANIZE. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS THAT 
INVEST 95A IS IN A MARGINALLY UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT, 
WITH WEAK DIVERGENCE ALOFT AS WELL AS LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR 
(15-20KTS), SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE FAVORABLE HOWEVER (28-30C). 
GLOBAL MODELS CURRENTLY INDICATE A RELATIVELY SLUGGISH DEVELOPMENT WITH 
A WESTERLY TRACK OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS 
ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED 
TO BE NEAR 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT 
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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