ABPW10 PGTW 041400
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/041400Z-050600ZOCT2024//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/031953ZOCT2024//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FINAL WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 03OCT24 1800Z, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W (KRATHON) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 23.0N 120.9E, APPROXIMATELY 130 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF TAIPEI, 
TAIWAN, AND HAD TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX 
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING 
TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN33 PGTW 032100) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS 
SYSTEM.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 11.8N 
148.6E, APPROXIMATELY 112 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. ENHANCED INFRARED 
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER 
OBSCURED BY SCATTERED FLARING CONVECTION DIRECTLY OVERTOP OF AND 
SURROUNDING THE CENTER. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES 99W IS IN A 
FAVORABLE AREA FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH WARM (29-30 C) SEA SURFACE 
TEMPERATURES, LOW (10-15 KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND MODERATE POLEWARD 
OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 99W WILL CONTINUE 
A NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY TRACK IVO THE MARIANAS OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM 
SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS 
LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1).//
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