WTPN22 PHNC 021400
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (INVEST 97E) CANCELLATION//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/011351ZOCT2024//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. REMARKS: THIS CANCELS REF A (WTPN21 PHNC 011400). THE AREA OF 
CONVECTION (INVEST 97E) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 98.8W, IS NOW 
LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 96.5W, APPROXIMATELY 245 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF 
SALINA CRUZ. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY DEPICTS AN AREA OF FLARING 
CONVECTION WITH A CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER AND 
CURVED DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING BUILDING OVER THE CENTER. ENVIRONMENTAL 
ANALYSIS REVEALS THAT INVEST 97E IS IN A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE 
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH WARM (28-29C) SEA SURFACE 
TEMPERATURES AND GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, OFFSET BY HIGH (25-30 
KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 
INVEST 97E WILL VEER AND TRACK NORTHWARDS OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. 
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THIS 
SYSTEM IS NO LONGER EXPECTED TO DEVELOP INTO A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL 
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.//
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