ABPW10 PGTW 261500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/261500Z-270600ZSEP2024//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/261351ZSEP2024//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/261352ZSEP2024//
NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 26SEP24 1200Z, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W (CIMARON) WAS 
LOCATED NEAR 28.1N 131.9E, APPROXIMATELY 239 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF 
KADENA AB, AND HAD TRACKED WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE 
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 
KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 261500) FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS.
      (2) AT 26SEP24 1200Z, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (NINETEEN) WAS 
LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 146.8E, APPROXIMATELY 550 NM SOUTHEAST OF IWO TO, 
AND HAD TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 
KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 261500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
16.1N 148.3E IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE 
PARA. 1.A.(2) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
24.5N 126.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 127.4E, APPROXIMATELY 275 NM 
SOUTH OF KADENA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A 
POORLY-ORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH FLARING 
CONVECTION DISPLACED TO THE SOUTH. A 260100Z ASCAT IMAGE SHOWS 20-25 
KNOTS OF NORTH-NORTHEAST WINDS OVER THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE. A SURFACE 
OBSERVATIONS FROM MIYAKOJIMA SHOWS WINDS FROM THE NORTH-NORTHEAST 
BETWEEN 10-17KTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS, SUPPORTING THE POSITION AND 
INTENSITY ASSESSMENTS. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED 
TO TRACK SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD, EMERGING OVER THE NORTHERN PHILIPPINE 
SEA OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WHERE IT WILL FIND FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR 
DEVELOPMENT, INCLUDING LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OF 10-15 KNOTS, GOOD 
EQUATORWARD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF 
29-30 DEGREES C. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 
TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 
MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL 
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO WARNING 
STATUS.//
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