ABPW10 PGTW 250200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/250200Z-250600ZSEP2024//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/241951ZSEP2024//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 24SEP24 1800Z, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W (EIGHTEEN) WAS 
LOCATED NEAR 28.1N 135.2E, APPROXIMATELY 489 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF 
YOKOSUKA, JAPAN, AND HAD TRACKED NORTH- NORTHEASTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER 
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 
KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 242100) FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 14.2N 
149.4E, APPROXIMATELY 278 NM EAST OF GUAM. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE 
IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS A BROAD AREA OF TURNING WITH FLARING CONVECTION TO 
THE WEST THAT IS BEING SHEARED FROM THE NORTHEAST. THE ENVIRONMENT IS 
MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH WARM, CONDUCIVE SEA SURFACE 
TEMPERATURES (29-30 C) AND MODERATE EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. 95W IS 
CURRENTLY EXPERIENCING LOW SHEAR (10-15 KTS) IN THE UPPER LEVELS BUT IS 
EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO AN AREA OF MODERATE SHEAR (20-25 KTS) AS THE SYSTEM 
TRANSITS NORTH-NORTHWEST. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT THE 
SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHWEST WITH STEADY INTENSIFICATION OVER 
THE NEXT 12-36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 
TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. 
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE 
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1).//
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