ABPW10 PGTW 230600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/230600Z-240600ZSEP2024//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.   
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
18.3N 107.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 107.2E, APPROXIMATELY 190 NM 
NORTH-NORTHWEST OF DA NANG. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY 
(MSI) DEPICTS AN OBSCURED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH DISORGANIZED 
CONVECTION ALONG A FRONTAL REGION WITH ENHANCED 15-20KT NORTH-
NORTHEASTERLY WIND AND MODERATE SOUTHWESTERLY WIND SPEEDS CONVERGING 
ALONG A STATIONARY BOUNDARY. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINALLY 
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT WITH HIGH VERTICAL WIND 
SHEAR OF 20-30 KNOTS, WEAK EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, AND WARM SEA SURFACE 
TEMPERATURES OF 29-30 DEGREES C. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS, GLOBAL MODELS 
ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 93W WILL WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS 
NORTHEASTWARD OVER HAINAN. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED 
AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 
1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL 
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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