ABPW10 PGTW 200030
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/200030Z-200600ZSEP2024//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/190751ZSEP2024//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/191951ZSEP2024//
NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FINAL WARNING AND B IS A TROPICAL 
CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 19SEP24 0600Z, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W (SOULIK) WAS 
LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 106.9E, APPROXIMATELY 97 NM NORTHWEST OF DA NANG, 
VIETNAM, AND HAD TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 
40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 190900) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS 
SYSTEM.
      (2) AT 19SEP24 1800Z, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W (PULASAN) WAS 
LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 121.4E, APPROXIMATELY 19 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF 
SHANGHAI, CHINA, AND HAD TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER 
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 
30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 192100) FOR 
FURTHER DETAILS.
      (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
20.1N 129.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 127.6E, APPROXIMATELY 404 NM 
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE 
IMAGERY DEPICTS ENHANCED SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS ALONG THE EASTERN 
PERIPHERY OF A SLOWLY CONSOLIDATING LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER 
(LLCC), WITH THE CONVECTION PRIMARILY OVER THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE. 
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE MARGINALLY FAVORABLE WITH MODERATE 
EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, LOW TO MODERATE (15 TO 20 KNOTS) VERTICAL 
WIND SHEAR AND WARM (30-31 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES CREATING A 
CONDUCIVE AREA FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT MOVING FORWARD. GFS IS THE MOST 
AGGRESSIVE MODEL AT THIS TIME INDICATING A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK 
TOWARD TAIWAN, WITH STEADY INTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. 
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE 
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO 
MEDIUM.//
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