ABPW10 PGTW 100600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/100600Z-110600ZSEP2024// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/100151ZSEP2024// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 10SEP24 0000Z, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W (FOURTEEN) WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 146.8E, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM SOUTHEAST OF WFO GUAM, AND HAD TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 100300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 23.9N 127.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 124.5E, APPROXIMATELY 175 NM EAST OF KADENA AFB. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A POORLY-ORGANIZED, BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), AND A LARGE AREA OF ROTATION WITH MULTIPLE MESOVORTICIES. A 092224Z SSMIS 91 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTS FRAGMENTED CURVED CONVECTIVE BANDING DISPLACED OVER THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT OF THE BROAD CIRCULATION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT 94W IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OF 15-20 KNOTS, GOOD EASTWARD AND WESTWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF 29-30C. GLOBAL MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES A GENERALLY NORTHWESTWARD TRACK WITH SLOW DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.// NNNN