ABPW10 PGTW 100300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/100300Z-100600ZSEP2024//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/100151ZSEP2024//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 10SEP24 0000Z, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W (FOURTEEN) WAS 
LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 146.8E, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM SOUTHEAST OF WFO GUAM, 
AND HAD TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 
KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 100300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
23.4N 131.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 25.8N 125.4E, APPROXIMATELY 129 NM 
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF KADENA. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY CLASSIFIED AS A 
MONSOON DEPRESSION-LIKE SYSTEM, GENERALLY CHARACTERIZED AS A LARGE 
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION, WITH A RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS GREATER THAN 
100NM AND THE HIGHEST WINDS CONFINED TO THE NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF 
THE CIRCULATION AND A WEAK CORE OF LIGHT WINDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED 
INFRARED IMAGERY DEPICT NO WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER 
(LLCC), BUT RATHER A LARGE AREA OF ROTATION. A 092224Z SSMIS2 F-16 91 
GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT FRAGMENTED CURVED CONVECTIVE BANDING OVER 
THE NORTHWESTERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE BROAD CIRCULATION. ENVIRONMENTAL 
ANALYSIS INDICATES THE 94W IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR 
DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OF 15-20 KNOTS, GOOD 
EASTWARD AND WESTWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. LASTLY, WARM SEA SURFACE 
TEMPERATURES OF 29-30 DEGREES C. GLOBAL MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUE TO 
SUGGEST THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TOWARDS 
THE RYUKYU ISLANDS AND DEVELOP SOME ENHANCED WINDS ALONG THE 
NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY, BUT LIKELY FAIL TO SHOW TYPICAL TROPICAL 
CYCLONE FEATURES. FOR HAZARDS AND WARNINGS, REFERENCE THE FLEET 
WEATHER CENTER SAN DIEGO HIGH WINDS AND SEAS PRODUCT OR REFER TO LOCAL 
WMO DESIGNATED FORECAST AUTHORITY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE 
ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED 
TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT 
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
      (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
23.4N 131.5E IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE 
PARA. 1.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.A.(1) TO WARNING 
STATUS.//
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