ABIO10 PGTW 081800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/081800Z-
091800ZSEP2024//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92B) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
17.9N 86.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 86.2E, APPROXIMATELY 166 NM EAST 
OF VISAKHAPATNAM. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 
081220Z SSMIS F-17 MICROWAVE DEPICT A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL 
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH DEEP CONVECTION SHEARED TO THE SOUTHWEST. 
ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES 92B IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR 
DEVELOPMENT DUE TO WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, LOW TO 
MODERATE (15-20 KNOTS) EASTERLY VWS, AND GOOD WESTWARD AND EQUATORWARD 
OUTFLOW, WITH THIS SYSTEM LYING UNDERNEATH A WEAKENED TROPICAL EASTERLY 
JET (TEJ). GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 92B WILL CONTINUE TO 
TRACK NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS AS IT BEGINS TO 
TRACK INLAND TOWARD EASTERN INDIA.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS 
ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED 
TO BE NEAR 994 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT 
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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