ABPW10 PGTW 010900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/010900Z-020600ZSEP2024//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/010751ZSEP2024//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 01SEP24 0600Z, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W (SHANSHAN) WAS 
LOCATED NEAR 33.8N 136.9E, APPROXIMATELY 165 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF 
YOKOSUKA, JAPAN, AND HAD TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 
SIX 
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS 
GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 010900) FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS.
  B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
12.0N 126.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 125.8E, APPROXIMATELY 303 NM 
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL 
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS AN EXPOSED, WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL 
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH FORMATIVE BANDING OVER THE WESTERN AND 
NORTHERN PERIPHERIES. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE WITH GOOD 
POLEWARD AND EQUATORWARD DIVERGENCE ALOFT, LOW (10-15 KNOTS) VERTICAL 
WIND SHEAR, AND WARM (29-30 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL 
DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS SHOW A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO 
NORTHWESTWARD TRACK AS THE SYSTEM PARALLELS THE EASTERN COAST OF THE 
PHILIPPINES, WITH ECMWF AND GFS AGGRESSIVELY FAVORING DEVELOPMENT OVER 
THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 
20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 
1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL 
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: REMNANTS 11W HAS REGENERATED AND IS NOW 
IN 
WARNING STATUS.//
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