WTPN22 PHNC 240300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (INVEST 92E) REISSUED//
REF/A/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/230300ZAUG24//
AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PHNC 230300)//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
080 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14.9N 114.6W TO 16.9N 121.8W
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT
IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 240300Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION
CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 114.8W. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING
NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS.
2. REMARKS:
THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92E) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
15.0N 114.8W IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.80N 114.60W APPROXIMATELY 214 NM 
SOUTH OF CLARION. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS 
PERSISTENT CONVECTION SHEARED WESTWARD OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION 
CENTER (LLCC) PARTIALLY OBSCURING THE CENTER. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS 
REVEALS A MODERATE (15-20KTS) VWS, WEAK POLEWARD OUTFLOW, AND WARM (28-
29C) SSTS. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE WEAK DEVELOPMENT WITH A WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE 
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A 
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH. THIS 
SUPERSEDES REF A.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 
250300Z.//
NNNN