ABIO10 PGTW 191800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/191800Z-
201800ZAUG2024//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
4.3S 74.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.8S 68.8E, APPROXIMATELY 219 NM WEST OF 
DIEGO GARICA. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS FLARING 
CONVECTION WITH A WEAKLY-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) AND 191330Z 
SSMIS 91GHZ SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS AN ASYMMETRIC AREA OF CIRCULATION 
FLARING CONVECTION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINALLY 
UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT WITH HIGH (40-50KTS) VWS, 
MODERATE POLEWARD OUTFLOW, AND WARM (27-28C) SST. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN 
AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 90S WILL NOT CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AS IT GENERALLY 
TRACKS WESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS 
ARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 33 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED 
TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT 
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN