ABPW10 PGTW 170600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/170600Z-180600ZAUG2024//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/170151ZAUG2024//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 17AUG24 0000Z, TYPHOON 08W (AMPIL) WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.5N 
143.9E, APPROXIMATELY 216 NM EAST- NORTHEAST OF YOKOSUKA, JAPAN, AND HAD 
TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 95 KNOTS GUSTING TO 115 KNOTS. 
SEE REF A (WTPN33 PGTW 170300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
25.0N 122.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 25.1N 122.3E, APPROXIMATELY 42NM EAST 
OF TAIPEI. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 170430Z 
HIMIWARI-9 IR IMAGE REVEALS AN AREA OF SCATTERED CONVECTION ALONG THE 
NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF A VERY WEAKLY-DEFINED CIRCULATION. ENVIRONMENTAL 
ANALYSIS IS MARGINALLY UNFAVORABLE, CHARACTERIZED BY HIGH VERTICAL WIND 
SHEAR (25-30KTS) AND WEAK EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, OFFSET BY HIGH SST (29-
31C). DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS INDICATE THAT THE AREA OF 
CONVECTION (98W) WILL TRANSIT NORTHEASTWARD AS IT SLOWLY DEVELOPS OVER 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 
TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. 
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE 
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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