ABPW10 PGTW 111930
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/111930Z-120600ZAUG2024//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/111351ZAUG2024//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 11AUG24 1200Z, TROPICAL STORM 06W (MARIA) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 37.8N 143.3E, APPROXIMATELY 184 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MISAWA, 
JAPAN, AND HAD TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 
SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS 
GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 111500) FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 22.1N 
135.6E, APPROXIMATELY 425 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KADENA. ANIMATED 
ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 111708Z AMSR2 89GHZ 
SATELLITE IMAGE DEPICTS AN AREA OF FLARING CONVECTION AND FORMATIVE 
CLOUD BANDING WRAPPING INTO A WEAKLY DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION 
CENTER (LLCC). ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS AN AREA THAT IS 
MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH WARM (29-30C) SST, LOW 
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10-15KTS), AND GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. 
MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 91W WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK 
NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS 
ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1001 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A 
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
27.1N 154.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 27.8N 155.2E, APPROXIMATELY 910 NM 
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF YOKOSUKA. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY CLASSIFIED AS A 
SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE, GENERALLY CHARACTERIZED AS HAVING BOTH TROPICAL 
AND MIDLATITUDE CYCLONE FEATURES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE 
IMAGERY DEPICTS LOW-LEVEL CLOUD LINES WRAPPING INTO A FULLY-EXPOSED 
LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION, WITH ISOLATED DEEP CONVECTION SHEARED TO THE 
EAST. A 110320Z AMSR2 WINDSPEED IMAGE AND A 110006Z ASCAT-C IMAGE 
REVEAL A HIGHLY ASYMMETRIC WIND FIELD WITH 30-35 KNOT WINDS DISPLACED 
WELL TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. AS EVIDENT IN THE TOTAL 
PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY, 95W IS LOCATED ALONG THE EASTERN PERIPHERY 
OF THE MONSOON GYRE, WITH A HIGHLY ASYMMETRIC, EXTENSIVE REGION OF 
DEEP MOISTURE EXTENDING WESTWARD TO 125E. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE THE 
SYSTEM WILL TRACK POLEWARD UNDER THE STRONG UPPER-LEVEL LOW OVER THE 
NEXT TWO DAYS WITH GRADUAL WEAKENING. FOR HAZARDS AND WARNINGS, 
REFERENCE THE FLEET WEATHER CENTER SAN DIEGO HIGH WINDS AND SEAS 
PRODUCT OR REFER TO LOCAL WMO DESIGNATED FORECAST AUTHORITY. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 30 TO 35 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA 
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 995 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS 
REMAINS MEDIUM.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(1).//
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