ABPW10 PGTW 101530
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/101530Z-110600ZAUG2024//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/101351ZAUG2024//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 10AUG24 1200Z, TROPICAL STORM 06W (MARIA) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 36.2N 145.3E, APPROXIMATELY 317 NM SOUTHEAST OF MISAWA, JAPAN, 
AND HAD TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS GUSTING TO 
65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 101500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 27.0N 
154.0E, APPROXIMATELY 700NM EAST OF IWO-TO. ANIMATED ENHANCED 
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS LOW-LEVEL CLOUD LINES WRAPPING 
INTO A DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION, WITH AN INTENSE REGION OF DEEP 
CONVECTION SHEARED ABOUT 35NM TO THE SOUTH. PARTIAL 101141Z AND 
100959Z ASCAT-C IMAGES INDICATE AN EXTENSIVE SWATH OF 20-25 KNOT LOW-
LEVEL WINDS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN PERIPHERIES OF THE 
DISTURBANCE. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE MARGINALLY FAVORABLE WITH 
MODERATE TO HIGH (20-30 KNOTS) NORTHERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OFFSET 
BY VIGOROUS EASTERLY OUTFLOW INTO A TUTT CELL NEAR 29N 158E. SEA 
SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE CONDUCIVE AT 28-30C. ALTHOUGH ENVIRONMENTAL 
CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN MARGINAL OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS, GLOBAL MODELS 
INDICATE A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR WEAK TROPICAL STORM MAY SPIN UP 
AIDED BY THE STRONG LOW-LEVEL FLOW PRESENT. ADDITIONALLY, 
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS MAY IMPROVE BRIEFLY BEFORE THE SYSTEM 
TRANSITIONS INTO A SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM TRACKING POLEWARD OVER COOLER 
SST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. 
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE 
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE 
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED MEDIUM AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(1).//
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