ABPW10 PGTW 251500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/251500Z-260600ZJUL2024//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/251352ZJUL2024//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FINAL WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 25JUL24 1200Z, TROPICAL STORM 05W (GAEMI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 
25.6N 119.4E, APPROXIMATELY 118 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, AND 
HAD TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS GUSTING TO 65 KNOTS. 
SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 251500) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
6.8N 135.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.3N 134.8E, APPROXIMATELY 12 NM EAST OF 
PALAU. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A BROAD 
SLIGHTLY OBSCURED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH PERSISTENT 
CONVECTIVE FLARING ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY RESPECTIVELY. ENVIRONMENTAL 
ANALYSIS SHOWS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF INVEST 
95W WITH WARM (29-30C) SST, WEAK UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW DUE TO THE DOMINANT 
PRESENCE OF TY 05W, AND LOW TO MODERATE (15-20KTS) VWS. DETERMINISTIC 
MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS POOR AGREEMENT ON DEVELOPMENT CYCLE OF 95W WITH GFS 
AND NAVGEM SHOWING DISTURBANCE STRENGTH BY TAU 60 WHILE ECMWF LEANING 
MORE ON THE LOWER SIDE WITH JUST TROUGHING, BUT THERE IS STILL HOPE WITH 
ALL AGREEING ON A RELATIVELY NORTHWESTWARD TRACK SIMILAR TO 05W. GEFS 
AND ECENS ENSEMBLES SHOW STRONG MEMBER SIGNATURES THROUGHOUT WITH GOOD 
AGREEMENT ON A NORTHWESTWARD TRACK AS WELL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE 
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A 
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATED PARA. 1.A.(1) WITH 05W FINAL 
WARNING INFORMATION.//
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