ABPW10 PGTW 170600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/170600Z-180600ZJUL2024//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
8.3N 129.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 125.8E, APPROXIMATELY 366 NM 
SOUTHEAST OF MANILLA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE 
IMAGERY DEPICTS A DISORGANIZED, PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION 
CENTER (LLCC). A 170430Z HIMAWARI-9 VIS IMAGE DEPICTS CURVED LOW-LEVEL 
CLOUD LINES WITH SCATTERED CONVECTION JUST EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES. 
ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS MARGINAL CONDITIONS WITH LOW TO MODERATE 
(15-20 KTS) VWS, WEAK OUTFLOW ALOFT, OFFSET BY WARM (29-30 C) SEA 
SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS INDICATE 
SLOW STEADY DEVELOPMENT WITH A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT 24 
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 KNOTS. 
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE 
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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