ABPW10 PGTW 160600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/160600Z-170600ZJUL2024//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
8.3N 129.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.6N 127.8E, APPROXIMATELY 532 NM 
SOUTHEAST OF MANILLA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE 
IMAGERY DEPICTS A DISORGANIZED, SLOWLY CONSOLIDATING LOW-LEVEL 
CIRCULATION (LLC). A 160448Z GMI 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTS CURVED 
LOW-LEVEL CLOUD LINES WITH SPARSE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION. ENVIRONMENTAL 
ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS WITH LOW (05-10 KTS) VWS, GOOD 
POLEWARD OUTFLOW, AND WARM (29-30 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL 
DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS INDICATE SLOW STEADY DEVELOPMENT WITH 
A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL 
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS 
REMAINS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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