ABPW10 PGTW 240600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/240600Z-250600ZMAY2024//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
8.0N 131.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.9N 128.2E, APPROXIMATELY 188 NM 
NORTHEAST OF DAVAO. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 2134Z SSMIS 91HZ 
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A DISORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER 
THAT LACKS PERSISTENT CONVECTION WITH, SPARSE CONVECTIVE BANDING 
SLOWLY COALESCING INTO THE CIRCULATION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS 
A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH WARM (30 C) 
SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE, WEAK DUAL CHANNEL OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND LOW 
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10-15 KTS). GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT 
THAT 93W WILL GENERALLY TRACK NORTHWEST AND MAKE LANDFALL WITHIN THE 
NEXT 36 HOURS, THEN BEGIN TO RECURVE BACK INTO WATER. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA 
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS 
REMAINS MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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