ABPW10 PGTW 231500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/231500Z-240600ZMAY2024//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/231421ZMAY2024//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
5.5N 134.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.0N 131.0E, APPROXIMATELY 219 NM WEST 
OF PALAU. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 230855Z 
SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT AN EXPANSIVE BUT WEAK SYSTEM WITH 
FRAGMENTED FORMATIVE BANDS FEEDING INTO A BROAD AND LOOSELY DEFINED 
LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES A FAVORABLE 
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (30-31 
C) AND GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW SLIGHTLY OFFSET BY MODERATE VERTICAL 
WIND SHEAR (15-20 KTS). GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 93W 
WILL GENERALLY TRACK NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD SAMAR, PHILIPPINES AND MAKE 
LANDFALL BY TAU 36. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 
18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 
1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL 
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH. THIS SUPERSEDES REF A 
(WTPN21 PGTW 221430).
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: REISSUED REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 231430) FOR 
THE AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(1).//
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