ABPW10 PGTW 220600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/220600Z-230600ZMAY2024//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
4.8N 137.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.7N 135.6E, APPROXIMATELY 110 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF PALAU. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A  
220214Z ATMS NPP 88.2GHZ IMAGE DEPICT A BROAD SLOWLY CONSOLIDATING LOW 
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE ENVIRONMENT IS FAVORABLE FOR 
DEVELOPMENT WITH WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30C) AND LOW VERTICAL 
WIND SHEAR (5-10KTS). THE UPPER-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT IS FAVORABLE FOR 
INTENSIFICATION AS A POINT SOURCE ALOFT FEEDS IN TO A UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH 
TO THE NORTHWEST. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN GOOD 
AGREEMENT THAT 93W WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD WITH STEADY 
INTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS 
ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 17 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED 
TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT 
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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