1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (GAMANE) WARNING NR 007   
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   281800Z --- NEAR 14.4S 47.8E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 145 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   REPEAT POSIT: 14.4S 47.8E
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   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   290600Z --- 15.3S 49.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
    ---
REMARKS:
282100Z POSITION NEAR 14.6S 48.1E. 28MAR24.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (GAMANE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 271 
NM NORTH OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD
 AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
 IMAGERY (EIR) SHOWS THE WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) HAS 
UNRAVELED AFTER IT MADE A SECONDARY LANDFALL ALONG THE NORTHWEST 
COAST OF MADAGASCAR AFTER A BRIEF SPLASH INTO THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL. 
A PERSISTENT BALL OF CONVECTION, DECAPITATED AND DISLOCATED 
70NM TO THE NORTH, CONTINUES TO FLARE. AN EARLIER 280624Z ASCAT-B
 IMAGE HAS CONFIRMED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE THAT THE SYSTEM'S 
LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BECOME ILL-DEFINED, WITH A MAXIMUM OF 
25 KTS INTENSITIES POSITIONED IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT. OVER THE 
NEXT 12 HOURS, THE REMNANT CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH TC 20S, 
IF ANY, WILL CONTINUE TO PROGRESS SOUTHEASTWARD, FURTHER 
INTERACTING WITH MADAGASCAR'S MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN, LIMITING
 CHANCES FOR IMMEDIATE RE-INTENSIFICATION. THE CHANCE THAT THE 
LLC WILL REFORM IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN ON THE LEEWARD SIDE OF 
MADAGASCAR IS UNLIKELY AT THIS TIME DUE TO INCREASING VERTICAL 
WIND SHEAR IN ADDITION TO THE FRICTIONAL EFFECTS OF THE RUGGED TERRAIN. 
THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN
 PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED
FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 
281800Z IS 1007 MB.//
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