ABIO10 PGTW 191800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/191800Z-
201800ZMAR2024//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 18S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
18.1S 111.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.8S 111.5E, APPROXIMATELY 302 NM 
NORTH-NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED 
SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) SHOWS A PARTIALLY-EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIIRCULATION 
CENTER (LLCC) AS WELL AS FLARING CONVECTION. A 191426Z ASCAT PASS 
INDICATES PREDOMINANTLY 20-25 KNOT WINDS OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN PORTION OF 
THE CIRCULATION, WHICH IS FURTHER CONFIRMED IN THE BYU HIGH-RESOLUTION 
ENHANCED VERSION ASCAT PRODUCT.  ADDITIONALLY, AN EARLIER SMOS PASS 
PROVIDING ADDITIONAL COVERAGE ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHY FURTHER SUPPORTS 
THE ANALYSIS, DESPITE HIGHER SUBJECTIVE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES.  
ENVIORMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE MARGINALLY-FAVORABLE DUE TO DRY AIR IN THE 
MID TO UPPER LEVELS AND MODERATE VWS OFFSET BY ROBUST POLEWARD VENTING, 
AND WARM SST (27-28C). GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE THE SYSTEM WILL REINTENSIFY 
AS IT TRACKS WESTWARD OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS.//
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