ABPW10 PGTW 150600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/150600Z-160600ZMAR2024//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
13.0S 136.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.5S 137.0E, APPROXIMATELY 19 NM 
SOUTHEAST OF GOVE AIRPORT, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE 
IMAGERY DEPICTS PERSISTENT CONVECTION SHEARING TO THE WEST OF AN 
EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), WITH STRONG VERTICAL WIND 
SHEAR (VWS) OF 30-35 KNOTS. ANIMATED RADAR IMAGERY FROM GOVE AIRPORT 
AND A 150436Z 88.2 GHZ ATMS MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEAL MULTIPLE, STRONG 
CONVECTIVE BANDS CONVERGING INTO THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE LLCC. 
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM GOVE AIRPORT INDICATE SUSTAINED WEST-
NORTHWESTERLY WINDS (10-MINUTE AVERAGE) OF 20-25 KNOTS, SLP VALUE OF 
997 MB, AND A 24-HOUR SLP DECREASE OF 5.4 MB. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES 
ARE CONDUCIVE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT AT 30-31C. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC 
MODELS INDICATE A SOUTHEASTWARD TO SOUTHWARD TRACK THROUGH THE WESTERN 
GULF OF CARPENTARIA WITH RAPID CONSOLIDATION OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 30 TO 35 KNOTS. 
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 995 MB. THE 
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH. SEE REF A (WTPS21 PGTW 150130) FOR 
FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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