ABPW10 PGTW 150130
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/150130Z-150600ZMAR2024//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/150121ZMAR2024//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 
NEAR 12.5S 135.6E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.0S 136.2E, APPROXIMATELY 56 
NM SOUTHWEST OF GOVE AIRPORT, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL 
SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LLC WITH 
CONVECTION BUILDING OVER THE CIRCULATION. A RECENT SURFACE OBSERVATION 
VALID AT 150038Z REPORTS WINDS FROM THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 16KTS. 
ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES 94S IS IN A MODERATELY FAVORABLE 
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND WARM (29-
30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OFFSET BY HIGH (25-30KT) VWS. GLOBAL 
MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 94S WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK EASTWARD 
INTO THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA TO A MORE FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR 
DEVELOPMENT AND BEGIN INTENSIFYING IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 33 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA 
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 997 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS 
IS UPGRADED TO HIGH.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(1) TO 
HIGH.//
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