ABPW10 PGTW 141800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/141800Z-150600ZMAR2024//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/141751ZMAR2024//
AMPN/REF A IS THE ABIO10 BULLETIN.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
10.9S 129.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.5S 135.6E, APPROXIMATELY 75 NM 
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF GROVE AIRPORT, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED 
SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) AND A 141548Z GMI MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT A 
MORE CONSOLIDATED LLCC WITH THE FLARING CONVECTION DISPLAYED TO THE 
NORTH DUE TO LAND INTERACTION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES 94S IS 
IN A MARGINALLY UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE 
TO HIGH (20-30KT) VWS OFFSET BY GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND WARM (29-
30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT 
THAT 94S WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK EASTWARD INTO THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA 
INTO A MORE FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT AND BEGIN 
INTENSIFYING IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE 
ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED 
TO BE NEAR 998 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT 
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: THE AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1) PREVIOUSLY 
DISCUSSED ON THE ABIO BULLETIN HAS CROSSED INTO THE ABPW BULLETIN 
REGION AND BEEN UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.//
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