ABIO10 PGTW 131030
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 
REISSUED/131030Z-131800ZMAR2024//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/130752ZMAR2024//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/130751ZMAR2024//
NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 13MAR24 0600Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 18S (EIGHTEEN) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 14.9S 110.8E, APPROXIMATELY 482 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, 
AUSTRALIA, AND HAD TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX 
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING 
TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS32 PGTW 130900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) AT 13MAR24 0600Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (FILIPO) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 26.0S 33.1E, APPROXIMATELY 451 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF EUROPA ISLAND, 
AND HAD TRACKED SOUTH- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 
KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS31 PGTW 130900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 11.5S 
129.3E, APPROXIMATELY 108 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF DARWIN. ANIMATED 
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) AND A 130730Z HIMAWARI-9 VISIBLE 
SATELLITE IMAGE DEPICT A BROAD AREA OF TURNING WITH FLARING CONVECTION 
OBSCURING THE ASSESSED LLCC. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES 94S IS IN A 
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW TO MODERATE (10-15 KT) 
VWS, GOOD DUAL-CHANNEL DIVERGENCE ALOFT, AND WARM (29-31C) SEA SURFACE 
TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 94S WILL CONTINUE 
TO TRACK GENERALLY EASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS, GRADUALLY 
CONSOLIDATING ALONG THE TRACK.   MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE 
ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 27 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO 
BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT 
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(1)//
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