ABIO10 PGTW 051800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/051800Z-
061800ZMAR2024//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
15.3S 43.1E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 20.7S 41.8E, APPROXIMATELY 130 NM 
NORTHEAST OF EUROPA ISLAND. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY 
(EIR) AND A 051241Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT A LOOSELY 
ORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH FLARING CONVECTION DISPLACED 
TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CIRCULATION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A 
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW (10-15KTS) VWS, 
GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW, AND WARM (29-30C) SSTS. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC 
MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 90S WILL BECOME QUASI-STATIONARY AS IT 
CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED 
AT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 
1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL 
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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