ABIO10 PGTW 030700
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 
REISSUED/030700Z-031800ZMAR2024//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 12.1S 
50.9E, APPROXIMATELY 444 NM EAST OF COMOROS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL 
SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) AND A 030245Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT 
AN ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH FLARING CONVECTION 
OBSCURING THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ENVIRONMENTAL 
ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER 
DEVELOPMENT OF INVEST 90S WITH LOW TO MODERATE (15-20KTS) VWS, GOOD 
POLEWARD OUTFLOW, WARM (29-30C) SST, OFFSET BY LAND INTERACTION WITH 
MADAGASCAR. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 90S 
WILL CONTINUE ON A WESTWARD TRACK WHILE TRANSITING OVER THE NORTHERN TIP 
OF MADAGASCAR AND CONTINUE CONSOLIDATING OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 22 TO 27 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA 
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS 
IS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(1).//
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