ABIO10 PGTW 201800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/201800Z-
211800ZFEB2024//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/201351ZFEB2024//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 20FEB24 1200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S (ELEANOR) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 13.8S 59.6E, APPROXIMATELY 471 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF ST DENIS, LA 
REUNION, AND HAD TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 
SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS 
GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS32 PGTW 201500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 14P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
18.8S 128.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.4S 125.2E, APPROXIMATELY 222 NM EAST 
OF BROOME, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY 
AND A 2009381Z SSMIS 91GHZ PASS DEPICT A BROAD BUT WELL-DEFINED LOW-
LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH ORGANIZED CONVECTION AND SHALLOW BANDING. 
REMNANTS OF 14P ARE CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER LAND. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS 
INDICATES STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT AND LOW (10-15KTS) VERTICAL WIND 
SHEAR. GLOBAL NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 
REMNANTS OF 14P WILL CONTINUE TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WITH POTENTIAL 
TO FURTHER CONSOLIDATE AS IT NEARS THE NORTHWEST AUSTRALIAN COASTLINE. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM 
SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR 
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 
HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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