ABIO10 PGTW 191130
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 
REISSUED/191130Z-191800ZFEB2024//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/190751ZFEB2024//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/190151ZFEB2024//
NARR/REFS A AND A ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 19FEB24 0600Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S (DJOUNGOU) WAS 
LOCATED NEAR 25.2S 85.5E, APPROXIMATELY 1013 NM SOUTHWEST OF COCOS 
ISLANDS, AND HAD TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 28 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX 
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 90 KNOTS 
GUSTING TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 190900) FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS.
      (2) AT 19FEB24 0000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S (SIXTEEN) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 14.9S 54.6E, APPROXIMATELY 348 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF PORT LOUIS, 
MAURITIUS, AND HAD TRACKED EAST- NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE 
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 
KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS32 PGTW 190300) FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS.
      (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (REMNANTS 14P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 
18.8S 128.8E, APPROXIMATELY 378 NM EAST OF BROOME, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED 
ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 190951Z SSMIS 91GHZ 
PASS DEPICT A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH ORGANIZED 
CONVECTION AND SHALLOW BANDING. REMNANTS OF 14P ARE CURRENTLY LOCATED 
OVER LAND. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES POOR EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW 
ALOFT OFFSET BY LOW (5-10KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD CONVERGENCE 
AT THE SURFACE. GLOBAL NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT 
THAT REMNANTS OF 14P WILL CONTINUE TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WITH 
POTENTIAL TO FURTHER CONSOLIDATE AS IT NEARS THE NORTHWEST AUSTRALIAN 
COASTLINE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 22 
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE 
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED THE REMNANTS OF 14P AS A LOW IN 
PARAGRAPH 2.B.(1).//
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