WTPS32 PGTW 160900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LINCOLN) WARNING NR 003//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LINCOLN) WARNING NR 003    
   02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   160600Z --- NEAR 16.2S 137.1E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 210 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF 
     SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 16.2S 137.1E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   161800Z --- 16.7S 136.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   170600Z --- 17.3S 134.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
    ---
REMARKS:
160900Z POSITION NEAR 16.3S 136.8E.
16FEB24. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LINCOLN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
423 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-
SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A COMPOSITE RADAR LOOP FROM
MORNINGTON ISLAND CLEARLY SHOWED THAT, OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS,
THE SYSTEM HAS ACCELERATED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AND MADE LANDFALL. 
THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE BASED ON THE
DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IN THE RADAR LOOP. THE INITIAL 
INTENSITY IS EXTRAPOLATED FROM NEARBY SURFACE WIND OBSERVATIONS
INCLUDING ONE FROM CENTRE ISLAND, 33NM TO THE NORTHWEST. 
TC 14P IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE SOUTWESTWARD AND DEEPER INLAND. 
LAND INTERACTION WILL MOSTLY CAUSE ITS DISSIPATION BY TAU 12. 
THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON 
WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. 
THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 160600Z IS 991 MB.
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 15P (FIFTEEN) WARNINGS (WTPS33 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
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