ABPW10 PGTW 141400
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/141400Z-150600ZFEB2024//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
15.4S 137.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.5S 137.7E, APPROXIMATELY 440 NM 
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DARWIN. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 132358Z 
GMI 89GHZ SATELLITE MICROWAVE IMAGERY DEPICTS FORMATIVE SHALLOW BANDS 
OF CONVECTION, AND A CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. 
ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS THAT 93S IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT 
FOR DEVELOPMENT, WITH VERY WARM (30-31C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, 
MODERATE DUAL-CHANNEL OUTFLOW, AND LOW TO MARGINAL VERTICAL WIND 
SHEAR (10-15 KTS). GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 93S WILL 
GENERALLY TRACK EASTWARD WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS, MOVING OVER THE 
SOUTHERN GULF OF CARPENTARIA. OVER THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS, NUMERICAL 
MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT 93S WILL TURN SOUTHWARD TOWARDS LAND. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. 
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1001 MB. THE 
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE 
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.
      (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 15.9S 
167.7W, APPROXIMATELY 196 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PAGO PAGO. ENHANCED 
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 140838Z 89GHZ GMI SATELLITE 
MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS AN ELONGATED, CONSOLIDATING LLCC WITH 
PERSISTENT, DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. ENVIRONMENTAL 
ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT, WITH 
WARM (28C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE, MODERATE DUAL-CHANNEL OUTFLOW, 
AND LOW VERTICAL WINDSHEAR (5-10 KTS). GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD 
AGREEMENT THAT 94P WILL GENERALLY HEAD SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 
24-36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 
28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. 
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE 
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(2).//
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