ABPW10 PGTW 030200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/030200Z-030600ZFEB2024//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/020751ZFEB2024//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FINAL WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 02FEB24 0600Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 07P (KIRRILY) WAS 
LOCATED NEAR 18.1S 138.6E, APPROXIMATELY 418 NM WEST OF CAIRNS, 
AUSTRALIA, AND HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE 
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 
KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 020900) FOR THE 
FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUBTROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 19.2S 
175.0W, APPROXIMATELY 440 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF NADI. THE SYSTEM IS 
CURRENTLY CLASSIFIED AS A SUBTROPICAL DISTURBANCE, GENERALLY 
CHARACTERIZED AS HAVING BOTH TROPICAL AND MIDLATITUDE CYCLONE 
FEATURES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY AND A 022343Z GMI 89GHZ 
SATELLITE MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTS A BROAD AREA OF CIRCULATION WITH 
CURVED LOW-LEVEL FORMATIVE CLOUD BANDS. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS 
INDICATES MARGINALLY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT 
CHARACTERIZED BY MODERATE LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE, MODERATE TO HIGH 
(20-30 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS), AND HIGH (29-30 C) SEA 
SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST). GLOBAL NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE  
INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM WILL TRACK NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE 
NEXT 24 HOURS AND THEN MAKE A NORTHEASTWARD TURN AT TAU 36. FOR 
HAZARDS AND WARNINGS, REFERENCE THE FLEET WEATHER CENTER SAN DIEGO 
HIGH WINDS AND SEAS PRODUCT OR REFER TO LOCAL WMO DESIGNATED FORECAST 
AUTHORITY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 17 
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. 
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE 
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUBTROPICAL SYSTEMS.//
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED SUBTROPICAL AREA IN PARA. 2.C.
(1).//
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