WTPS31 PGTW 020900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 07P (KIRRILY) WARNING NR 014//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07P (KIRRILY) WARNING NR 014    
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   020600Z --- NEAR 18.1S 138.6E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 210 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF 
     SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   REPEAT POSIT: 18.1S 138.6E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   021800Z --- 19.1S 138.2E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   030600Z --- 20.5S 138.1E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
    ---
REMARKS:
020900Z POSITION NEAR 18.4S 138.5E.
02FEB24. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07P (KIRRILY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
418 NM WEST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD
AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED AS EVIDENCED BY
WARMING CLOUD TOPS AND UNRAVELING RAIN BANDS AS IT ACCELERATED 
FURTHER INLAND. THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH HIGH 
CONFIDENCE BASED ON A DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION FEATURE IN 
A COMPOSITE RADAR LOOP FROM MOUNT ISA. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS
ASSESSED WITH MEDIUM CONFIDENCE BASED ON INTERPOLATION FROM 
SURROUNDING WIND AND MSLP OBSERVATIONS. TC 07P IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE TO DECAY AS IT TRACKS FURTHER INLAND, LEADING TO
DISSIPATION BY TAU 12. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM
BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE 
CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MINIMUM CENTRAL 
PRESSURE AT 020600Z IS 993 MB.//
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