ABIO10 PGTW 241800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/241800Z-
251800ZJAN2024//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/240751ZJAN2024//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 24JAN24 0600Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (ANGGREK) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 14.1S 91.1E, APPROXIMATELY 1174 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, 
AND HAD TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 
KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS32 PGTW 240900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
20.1S 57.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 19.7S 57.7E, APPROXIMATELY 11 NM NORTH 
OF MAURITIUS. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 241409Z SSMIS 
91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEAL DEEP CONVECTION DIRECTLY OVERHEAD OF A 
PARTIALLY OBSCURED, ASYMMETRIC LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 
ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR 
INTENSIFICATION DUE TO HIGH (25-30KT) VWS AND MODERATE DUAL CHANNEL 
OUTFLOW, OFFSET BY WARM (28-29C) SSTS. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT 
THAT 92S WILL CONTINUE DEEPENING ALONG A SOUTHEAST TRACK OVER THE 
NEXT 24 HOURS.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 
32 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 994 MB. THE 
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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