ABPW10 PGTW 222100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/222100Z-230600ZJAN2024//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
15.4S 154.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.2S 154.1E, APPROXIMATELY 233 NM EAST 
OF WILLIS ISLAND. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 90P IS SLOWLY DEVELOPING, WITH 
CONVECTION SPORADIC AND DISPLACED TO THE EQUATORWARD SIDE OF THE SYSTEM. 
ANIMATED SHORTWAVE INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE CONVECTION HAS EBBED 
AND FLOWED DURING THE PAST TWELVE HOURS AND NOT ESPECIALLY DEEPENED 
DESPITE THE FACT THAT THE SYSTEM IS MOVING INTO THE DIURNAL MAXIMUM 
PERIOD. RECENT SATELLITE IMAGERY DOES SHOW VIGOROUS SOUTHEASTERLIES ALONG 
THE WESTERN FLANK OF THE ELONGATED CONVECTIVE SHIELD BEGINNING TO MAKE 
THE TURN INTO THE EQUATORWARD SIDE OF THE CIRCULATION BUT IT WILL TAKE A 
FEW MORE HOURS ANIMATED TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER LOOPS ALSO SHOW THAT 
DEEP CONVECTION IS STILL STRUGGLING TO COCOON THE SYSTEM. A 221134Z 
PARTIAL ASCAT-B IMAGE CONFIRMS A LACK OF 30KT WINDFIELDS ON THE EASTERN 
HALF OF THE SYSTEM. THE WESTERN HALF MISSED. THE ABRF CAME IN A T2.0 
CONFIRMING THE CURRENT INTENSITY ASSESSMENT. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS 
INDICATES THAT 90P IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH 
ROBUST POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, LOW (10 -15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND 
WARM (29-30 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD 
AGREEMENT THAT 90P WILL TRACK GENERALLY SOUTHWESTWARD AND DEEPEN TO 
TROPICAL STROM STRENGTH WITHIN THE NEXT TWELVE HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 33 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE 
IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 997 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A 
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: REISSUED TCFA FOR AREA IN 2.B.(1)//
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