WTXS31 PGTW 190300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BELAL) WARNING NR 014//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BELAL) WARNING NR 014    
   02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   190000Z --- NEAR 23.3S 64.6E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 23.3S 64.6E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   191200Z --- 23.5S 63.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   200000Z --- 24.0S 62.4E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
190300Z POSITION NEAR 23.4S 64.3E. 19JAN24. 
TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BELAL), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 
450 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PORT LOUIS, MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED
NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. OVER THE 
PREVIOUS 12 HOURS, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 05S HAS UNDERGONE
SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING AND EROSION AS THE MAIN CONVECTION WAS SHEARED 
150+ NM FROM AND FULLY EXPOSING THE LLCC, AS OBSERVED ON ANIMATED 
ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY, RESULTING IN A COMPLETE
LOSS OF CONVECTIVE SUPPORT THROUGH STRONG (25-30KT) RELATIVE 
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) AND DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT WRAPPING INTO THE
CIRCULATION CENTER. THE UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO PERSIST, RESULTING IN DISSIPATION BY TAU 12 OR SOONER. 
2. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON 
WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS 
OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z IS 17 
FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (ANGGREK) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) 
FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.//
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