ABIO10 PGTW 110200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 
REISSUED/110200Z-111800ZJAN2024//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
7.2S 78.7E HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT 
OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 
      (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 11.6S 
62.7E, APPROXIMATELY 583 NM NORTHEAST OF MAURITIUS. ANIMATED ENHANCED 
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS A VERY BROAD AREA OF 
DISORGANIZED CONVECTION WITH SHALLOW CUMULIFORM CLOUD LINES WRAPPING 
CYCLONICALLY INTO THE ASSESSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE 
GRADUAL CONSOLIDATION IS EVIDENT IN RECENT TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER 
FIELDS. THE ENVIRONMENT IS CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH WARM (30-31 
CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE VALUES AND LOW (5-10 KTS) VERTICAL WIND 
SHEAR. FURTHERMORE, UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE IS SUPPORTIVE OF CONTINUED 
DEVELOPMENT. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 97S WILL 
CONTINUE TO MOVE TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST TOWARD MAURITIUS AS IT STEADILY 
INTENSIFIES OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 
ESTIMATED AT 15-20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 
NEAR 1007 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 17 
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE 
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE:DISSIPATED AREA IN PARA. 2.B. (1) AND ADDED 
LOW AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(2) //
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