ABIO10 PGTW 091800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/ 
091800Z-101800ZJAN2024//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
8.9S 78.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.6S 78.8E, APPROXIMATELY 383 NM EAST OF 
DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A 
PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH DEEP 
CONVECTION PERSISTING ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERIES. THE CIRCULATION IS 
PASSING OVER VERY WARM WATER (29-30C) BUT CURRENTLY LIES IN AN AREA OF 
MODERATE TO HIGH (20-25 KTS) EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WITH WEAK 
UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW. INVEST 96S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON AN 
EQUATORWARD TRACK INTO A ZONE OF HIGHER SHEAR OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM 
SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR 
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 
HOURS REMAINS LOW.
     (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
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