ABIO10 PGTW 301230
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 
REISSUED/301230Z-301800ZDEC2023//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 19.7S 
36.5E, APPROXIMATELY 95 NM EAST OF BEIRA, MOZAMBIQUE. ANIMATED 
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED AND 
ELONGATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH FRAGMENTED FORMATIVE 
BANDING. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT 95S IS IN A FAVORABLE 
ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT WITH ROBUST OUTFLOW ALOFT, LOW TO 
MODERATE (15-20 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM (28-29 C) SEA SURFACE 
TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 95S WILL TRACK 
EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AND CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM 
SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR 
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 
HOURS IS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1).//
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